In the last article we looked at trends in extreme rainfall. Now we’ll take a look at what the 6th Assessment Report (AR6), chapter 11, says on floods.
Here’s the plain English version:
The Special Report on Extremes in 2012 and the 5th Assessment Report in 2013 didn’t know whether floods were getting worse globally. There have been lots of studies since but they are still regional and sub-regional so it’s still not possible to measure whether floods are getting worse on a global level.
This isn’t bad news or good news, it’s uncertainty. But if you learnt about climate from the media this may be surprising.
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