In #1 we saw an example of natural variability in floods in Europe over 500 years. Clearly the large ups and downs prior to the 1900s can’t be explained by “climate change”, i.e. from burning fossil fuels.
If you learnt about climate change via the media then you’ve probably heard very little about natural variability, but it’s at the top of climate scientists’ minds when they look at the past, even if it doesn’t get mentioned much in press releases.
Here’s another example, this time of droughts in the western USA. This is a reconstruction of the pre-instrument period.
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