We’ve been looking at various aspects of Tropical Cyclones (TCs) in the section “Observed Trends” from the latest IPCC report, AR6 (the 6th Assessment Report). Chapter 11 is all about extreme weather.
The report says, p.1585:
..there is evidence that TC intensification rates and the frequency of rapid intensification events have increased within the satellite era.
The satellite era is 1980 to present, so we have about 40 years of global data from satellites.
What is “intensification rate”?
– I’m moving to Substack. It’s a great publishing platform. See the rest this article (for free) at Science of Doom on Substack.
Thanks for the review.
It takes time and objectivity to achieve a balanced point of view. You seem to have done that.
Dipl.-Physiker Jochen Ebel
Am Haselnußstrauch 2
14822 Borkheide
Tel: 033845/40000
Fax: 032223710409
URL: http://www.ing-buero-ebel.de
Mail: JEbel@t-online.de (auch Skype)
Dear Sir,
I may be able to answer your question about the cause:
The enhancement of the greenhouse effect increases the height of the
tropopause. This also increases the vortex channel of a Tropical
Cyclones, which transports the contents of the core containing water
vapour faster and further upwards, which also has consequences in the
parts of the vortex flow near the surface.
With kind regards
Jochen Ebel
############################################################